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Red10
19651.2
17619.9
21277.7
Blue20
173511.8
207913.1
24098.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173501030405060701020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1761
#33
9.90.8
9.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2079
#32
13.10.6
14.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2127
#46
7.70.8
9.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1735
#27
11.81.0
10.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
#50
1.20.8
0.7-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2409
#40
8.01.0
7.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End