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Red30
135016.8
17314.3
115323.4
Blue0
19651.2
24236.7
175715.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45240406080100300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.9
20.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1757
#25
15.12.2
10.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1350
#21
16.81.0
9.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
2423
#49
6.70.4
5.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
173
#17
14.30.6
12.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
1965
#50
1.22.2
8.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End