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Red74
189510.1
83625.9
11951.8
Blue6
174810.8
17278.4
18866.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3825010203050607080746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
25.92.5
20.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
1748
#39
10.81.3
7.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1895
#32
10.12.5
7.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1727
#45
8.41.7
10.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1195
#55
1.83.2
7.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1886
#49
6.01.7
8.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End