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Red52
219910.7
25347.2
201619.1
Blue46
189510.1
190013.8
165615.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34290204060801001205246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#43
19.11.0
16.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1656
#31
15.01.3
12.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2199
#29
10.71.6
9.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1900
#38
13.81.3
8.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2534
#35
7.21.6
7.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1895
#32
10.10.9
9.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End