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Red40
165615.0
25467.4
219910.7
Blue50
253713.5
25366.2
48415.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31270204060801001204050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1656
#31
15.00.8
13.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
484
#17
15.61.9
11.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2199
#29
10.70.8
11.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2537
#24
13.51.9
10.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2546
#34
7.40.8
5.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2536
#44
6.21.9
6.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End