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Red76
7511.7
8815.3
83625.9
Blue50
2249.4
13419.2
35918.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060807650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
25.91.8
22.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
134
#28
19.20.3
18.418.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
#16
15.32.5
9.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
359
#50
18.20.3
19.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
75
#15
11.71.8
7.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
224
#7
9.40.3
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End