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Red38
205417.6
167717.2
260416.6
Blue6
51811.3
20754.3
8589.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33260406080100120140386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.5
13.113.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
518
#19
11.31.7
11.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1677
#15
17.20.5
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
858
#42
9.11.7
10.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#46
16.60.5
7.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
2075
#48
4.31.7
5.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End