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Red76
261113.9
124318.0
233723.4
Blue14
261716.8
21889.7
17015.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472204060801007614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.6
16.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2617
#34
16.80.9
9.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1243
#10
18.01.6
15.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
2188
#44
9.70.9
10.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#20
13.92.7
12.214.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1701
#49
5.90.9
4.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End