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Red34
51811.3
20159.8
240518.4
Blue12
15967.5
21889.7
261113.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33361020405060703412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#16
18.40.0
13.613.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2611
#20
13.92.0
14.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
518
#19
11.30.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2188
#44
9.72.0
9.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2015
#18
9.80.0
10.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1596
#47
7.52.0
11.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End