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Red40
191814.5
20159.8
2268.9
Blue48
150418.0
205417.6
45313.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060801004048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#40
14.50.7
13.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
18.00.0
17.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2015
#18
9.80.4
9.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
226
#43
8.90.7
8.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
453
#33
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End