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Red100
7131.1
217130.9
260416.6
Blue40
53712.4
7028.6
49429.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7373405060809010011010040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#2
31.10.4
29.730.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
494
#6
29.20.5
29.729.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.90.4
29.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
70
#12
28.60.5
29.128.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2604
#46
16.60.6
14.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
537
#17
12.40.5
12.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End