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Red26
192312.7
20704.9
201620.1
Blue22
13696.5
52222.8
139110.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40391020305060702622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
Unranked
20.10.7
20.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
522
Unranked
22.80.9
19.718.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1923
Unranked
12.70.9
12.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1391
Unranked
10.10.9
12.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2070
Unranked
4.90.9
7.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1369
Unranked
6.51.0
7.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End