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Red32
2197.8
30315.2
5616.9
Blue40
48416.9
8697.9
139110.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060803240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
Unranked
16.90.5
17.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
484
Unranked
16.90.2
15.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
Unranked
15.20.5
15.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1391
Unranked
10.10.2
10.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
219
Unranked
7.80.5
7.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
869
Unranked
7.90.2
9.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End