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Red50
216922.0
21755.7
24506.8
Blue16
25729.1
25008.8
21814.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35220103040506070805016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#12
22.01.1
19.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
2572
#29
9.10.6
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2450
#47
6.81.4
5.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
8.80.6
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2175
#40
5.71.4
7.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2181
#53
4.60.6
6.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End