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Red20
25116.8
251311.9
247216.4
Blue16
25257.0
251812.8
241812.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232504060801001202016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.3
5.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2418
#16
12.80.7
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.90.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2518
#20
12.80.7
6.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2511
#21
6.80.3
9.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2525
#36
7.00.7
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End