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Red16
25008.8
26548.0
247010.3
Blue46
247216.4
241812.8
25019.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22210103040501646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#46
10.30.5
5.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
16.42.0
5.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.80.5
8.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2418
#16
12.82.0
9.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2654
#49
8.00.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2501
#48
9.12.0
6.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End