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Red32
25008.8
247216.4
22258.6
Blue22
224111.5
249811.3
219414.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223404060803222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.7
7.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2194
#51
14.90.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.80.7
8.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2241
#11
11.50.9
10.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2225
#39
8.60.7
7.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2498
#25
11.30.9
11.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End