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Red20
25094.7
24506.8
24997.7
Blue8
16234.6
22076.4
25323.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1919010304050208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2499
#41
7.70.1
5.35.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
2207
#22
6.40.9
6.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2450
#47
6.80.1
8.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1623
#52
4.60.9
7.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2509
#37
4.70.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2532
#42
3.20.9
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End