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Red36
247216.4
25729.1
249811.3
Blue56
251311.9
87720.3
253112.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37372030405060703656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.0
15.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
877
#6
20.31.3
17.418.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2498
#25
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
12.41.3
11.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2572
#29
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
11.91.4
8.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End