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Red40
128813.7
93218.1
101810.7
Blue12
120811.2
28817.4
8687.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31300204060801004012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#39
18.10.7
10.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
288
#22
17.41.5
9.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.70.7
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1208
#20
11.21.5
8.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1018
#31
10.70.7
11.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
868
#41
7.51.5
12.310.8
Auto
Teleop
End