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Red58
83017.4
81813.5
117817.5
Blue0
150215.6
16582.0
21975.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34240406080100580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#12
17.52.1
11.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1502
#26
15.62.1
7.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
#11
17.42.1
10.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
2197
#44
5.22.1
9.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
818
#30
13.52.1
11.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
1658
#45
2.02.1
8.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End