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Red58
96710.8
204414.3
118213.7
Blue2
240814.2
206223.9
25607.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2928010204050607080582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2044
#37
14.32.4
9.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
2062
#28
23.92.1
13.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1182
#10
13.72.4
9.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2408
#23
14.22.1
7.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
967
#33
10.82.4
9.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2560
#43
7.55.5
11.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End