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Red2
198516.6
132911.5
96710.8
Blue34
128813.7
118213.7
170610.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31320102040506070234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#21
16.62.4
9.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1182
#10
13.70.2
12.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1329
#32
11.52.4
9.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
13.70.2
12.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
967
#33
10.82.4
12.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1706
#36
10.10.2
7.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End