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Red42
198516.6
24107.9
101810.7
Blue4
21975.2
206223.9
217712.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2627020406080100424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#21
16.61.3
6.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
2062
#28
23.91.9
10.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
#31
10.71.3
12.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2177
#27
12.41.9
11.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2410
#38
7.91.3
7.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2197
#44
5.21.9
5.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End