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Red38
8687.5
206223.9
21726.7
Blue40
201411.3
116.7
117817.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363102060803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#6
26.70.2
17.818.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1178
#12
17.50.7
13.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2062
#28
23.90.2
8.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1
#16
16.70.7
12.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
868
#41
7.50.2
9.39.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2014
#29
11.30.7
4.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End