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Red82
116.7
21726.7
132911.5
Blue2
16582.0
101810.7
82910.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402306080100822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#6
26.73.7
18.021.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
829
#35
10.81.9
12.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1
#16
16.73.7
13.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1018
#31
10.71.9
10.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1329
#32
11.53.7
6.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1658
#45
2.01.9
2.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End