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Red26
144423.4
128813.7
245713.8
Blue8
83017.4
24107.9
44212.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5331020406080100120268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.0
21.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
830
#11
17.42.1
14.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.82.0
14.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
442
#42
12.22.1
9.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
13.72.0
14.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2410
#38
7.92.1
8.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End