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Red120
96844.8
2037.5
69222.4
Blue114
32922.4
3944.4
17535.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9291607080100110120130120114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#1
44.81.4
35.637.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
39
#6
44.41.1
41.542.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20
#4
37.51.4
34.135.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
175
#23
35.91.1
34.535.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
692
#45
22.41.4
21.523.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
329
#24
22.41.1
15.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End