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Red78
80123.9
48821.7
14136.1
Blue74
69222.4
28819.6
7932.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687602040601001201401607874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#7
36.10.5
31.031.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
79
#44
32.80.1
31.131.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
#17
23.90.7
18.919.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
692
#45
22.40.1
21.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
488
#26
21.70.5
19.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
288
#85
19.60.1
22.622.5
Auto
Teleop
End