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Red78
248319.4
162615.1
201620.0
Blue68
254311.1
235214.7
80123.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5146203040607080907868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#21
20.01.4
18.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
801
#17
23.91.1
22.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2483
#46
19.41.4
17.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2352
#55
14.71.1
15.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1626
#67
15.11.4
14.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2543
#68
11.11.1
8.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End