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Red74
186811.2
162538.1
233810.9
Blue54
261412.7
248319.4
254311.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6039020801001207454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#13
38.10.8
36.937.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
2483
#46
19.40.6
19.219.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
#48
11.20.8
11.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2614
#82
12.70.6
13.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2338
#14
10.90.8
8.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2543
#68
11.10.6
9.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End