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Red58
116518.4
101414.6
259118.1
Blue28
204113.8
44017.2
4227.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393002060801005828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#15
18.41.5
15.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
440
#71
17.20.2
15.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2591
#11
18.11.5
11.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2041
#47
13.80.2
9.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1014
#56
14.61.4
11.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
422
#72
7.30.3
6.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End