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Red10
31916.3
182411.5
1339.1
Blue22
1907.1
128910.1
959.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4522060801001201401022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#21Sur
16.32.7
13.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1289
#18
10.10.2
6.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1824
#29Sur
11.52.7
13.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
95
#39Sur
9.00.2
9.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
133
#48Sur
9.12.7
14.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
190
#38
7.10.2
8.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End