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Red70
102711.9
107315.7
151924.7
Blue6
1518.4
1907.1
192210.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37310206080706

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.72.8
18.121.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.7
1922
#42
10.12.1
10.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
#15
15.72.8
11.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
151
#35
8.42.1
11.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1027
#25
11.92.4
6.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
190
#38
7.12.1
9.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End