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Red48
182411.5
234213.5
130714.5
Blue40
127712.9
5823.5
50011.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4039102030506070804840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1307
#36
14.50.7
13.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
58
#11
23.50.0
18.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2342
#14
13.50.7
13.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1277
#41
12.90.0
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1824
#29
11.50.7
11.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
500
#23
11.20.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End