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Red92
5823.5
151223.8
12477.1
Blue70
4215.5
66315.7
13114.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060801009270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.83.9
20.824.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
663
#31
15.72.6
13.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58
#11
23.53.9
18.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
42
#40
15.52.6
13.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1247
#43
7.13.9
5.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
131
#5
14.42.6
12.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End