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Red40
172110.8
5298.8
115320.2
Blue16
13416.6
1518.4
4215.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060801004016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#12
20.20.0
19.819.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
134
#47
16.61.9
15.013.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1721
#16
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
42
#40
15.51.9
17.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
529
#44
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
151
#35
8.41.9
10.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End