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Qual 142008 New Jersey Regional
Red50
18119.9
1111.4
83621.5
Blue32
2049.7
140312.2
16769.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3625060801005032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#15
21.51.3
16.9→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
1403
#53
12.20.5
11.1→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
11
#45
11.41.3
9.1→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
204
#60
9.70.5
8.6→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1811
#31
9.91.3
8.9→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1676
#44
9.20.5
6.3→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—