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Red8
10486.9
22857.5
7525.5
Blue14
21910.8
3039.8
12287.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262501020304050607080814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2285
#22
7.51.5
10.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
219
#10
10.80.9
9.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1048
#38
6.91.5
7.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
303
#28
9.80.9
10.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
752
#37
5.51.5
8.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1228
#33
7.80.9
5.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End