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Red26
44916.6
13675.8
21910.8
Blue0
756.7
136611.9
16769.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23330406080100120260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#12
16.60.2
7.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1366
#29
11.92.6
8.86.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
219
#10
10.80.2
9.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1676
#44
9.22.6
9.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1367
#47
5.80.2
6.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
75
#63
6.72.6
14.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End