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Red100
2533.8
167212.3
180717.5
Blue50
12287.8
13675.8
16167.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521402040608010010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#5
33.84.4
28.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.0
1228
#33
7.82.6
6.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1807
#26
17.54.4
12.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
1616
#49
7.22.6
5.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1672
#30
12.34.4
6.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
1367
#47
5.82.6
5.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End