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Red6
18836.2
24848.1
164113.6
Blue50
47316.8
213912.9
107010.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21280406080100650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1641
#39
13.61.3
7.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
473
#22
16.81.5
10.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2484
#34
8.11.3
7.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2139
#18
12.91.9
9.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1883
#33
6.21.3
6.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1070
#12
10.71.3
7.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End