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Red10
213912.9
17802.2
172416.6
Blue0
17040.8
154025.6
20576.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29390206080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1724
#17
16.61.7
14.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
25.62.1
26.324.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2139
#18
12.91.7
11.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2057
#31
6.73.2
7.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1780
#32
2.21.7
4.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1704
#27
0.83.2
4.21.0
Auto
Teleop
End