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Red38
6017.5
203210.2
18836.2
Blue0
26023.8
20376.5
203420.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350206080100380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#15
17.50.1
19.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
2034
#10
20.51.7
19.217.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2032
#19
10.20.1
9.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2037
#24
6.52.9
5.82.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1883
#33
6.20.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2602
#42
3.82.9
9.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End