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Red50
20576.7
172416.6
203420.5
Blue68
20376.5
47316.8
6017.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39391020305060705068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2034
#10
20.50.6
17.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
60
#15
17.51.4
19.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1724
#17
16.60.9
14.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
473
#22
16.81.4
16.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2057
#31
6.70.9
6.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2037
#24
6.52.3
2.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End