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Red38
57114.6
16008.6
63717.0
Blue40
19298.9
227410.9
16609.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280204060803840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
637
#29
17.00.6
9.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
2274
#36
10.91.0
9.610.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
571
#40
14.60.4
14.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1660
#32
9.01.0
9.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1600
#43
8.60.6
7.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1929
#47
8.91.0
9.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End