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Red40
226519.8
26816.4
18808.6
Blue6
24582.3
252411.6
257710.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113020406080100406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.7
16.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
2524
#44
11.60.8
7.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1880
#10
8.60.9
5.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2577
#34
10.40.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2681
#42
6.40.9
7.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
2458
#63
2.30.6
2.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End