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Red38
226519.8
37110.8
35412.5
Blue0
180714.7
15205.5
52219.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42510206080100120140380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.2
18.818.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
522
#38
19.32.5
22.720.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
354
#33
12.50.2
13.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1807
#37
14.72.5
17.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
371
#30
10.80.2
10.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1520
#35
5.54.1
9.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End