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Red40
61216.5
204814.1
159011.7
Blue14
20315.6
199011.8
12741.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4123060801001204014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#17
16.50.1
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1990
#36
11.80.6
8.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2048
#16
14.10.1
12.712.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
2031
#33
5.60.9
9.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11.70.1
10.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
1274
#45
1.60.9
7.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End