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Red0
63912.1
20105.8
22523.1
Blue34
159011.7
125015.9
23879.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2535010203040506070034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#18
12.11.3
13.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1250
#15
15.90.0
15.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2010
#23
5.82.2
7.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
11.70.0
8.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2252
#43
3.11.3
5.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
2387
#32
9.20.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End